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Conservative polling on Ed Miliband

The Conservative party have got some very good pickup in the press this morning for some Populus polling they have commissioned about Ed Miliband. It's very good PR for them, framing the start of Labour conference with media discussion of Miliband's position, but the polling itself

By Anthony Wells 29 Sep 2012

YouGov/Sun - CON 32, LAB 41, LD 9, UKIP 9

This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 41%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 9%. Yesterday had a thirteen point lead, but today's is very much back into the normal range. There is no sign of any bounce for the Liberal Democrats

By Anthony Wells 27 Sep 2012

New ICM and TNS-BMRB polls

The monthly ICM poll for the Guardian is out and has topline figures of CON 31%(-3), LAB 41%(+2), LDEM 14%(-1), Others 14%. In the last couple of years ICM have tended to show smaller Labour leads than many other polling companies for methological reasons, so while ten

By Anthony Wells 24 Sep 2012

Voting Intention v2

Voting Intention Voting Intention since 2010 MORI: How would you vote if there were a General Election held tomorrow? Would you vote... Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat [rotate order] or for some other party ICM: If there were to be a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would

By Anthony Wells 23 Sep 2012

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 34, LAB 43, LD 8, UKIP 8

The full details of the YouGov/Sunday Times poll are now up here. Topline figures are CON 34%, LAB 43%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 8% - so a nine point lead and pretty much in line with YouGov's recent polls (the seven point lead some people were tweeting last

By Anthony Wells 23 Sep 2012

Tonight's polls so far

Lots of polls tonight. We have figures for ComRes, Opinium and ICM with YouGov and Survation to come. Looking at voting intentions first, ComRes in the Independent on Sunday is the most unusual (and hence probably the one we should pay least attention to), with topline figures of CON 35%

By Anthony Wells 22 Sep 2012

Polls tonight

The summer is normally pretty light when it comes to polls. Conference season is normally the opposite - I'm expecting rather a lot of polls in the Sunday papers. It's confirmed that there will be a ComRes poll for the Independent on Sunday, the weekly YouGov

By Anthony Wells 22 Sep 2012

On margins of error

Last night's YouGov poll had topline figures of CON 35%, LAB 41%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 7%. The Labour lead of 6 points is unusually low, but as ever, this in itself doesn't actually mean anything. A series of low Labour leads is meaningful, it would show

By Anthony Wells 21 Sep 2012

More Miliband polling

The cause of today's polling excitement are MORI's questions asking respondents to compare Ed Miliband and David Cameron, results here. Briefly put, David Cameron enjoyed leads over Ed Miliband on most measures, often by a long way. He led on being eloquent by 59% to 15%

By Anthony Wells 19 Sep 2012

New YouGov and Ipsos MORI polls

This month's Ipsos MORI political monitor is out and has topline figures of CON 30%(-2), LAB 41%(-1), LDEM 13%(+2). Meanwhile this morning's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline voting intention figures of CON 34%, LAB 43%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 8%. In both

By Anthony Wells 19 Sep 2012

Populus/Times - CON 30, LAB 45, LDEM 10

The full details of this month's Populus poll in the Times (the first part of the large pre-conference poll that Populus run each year) won't be available till tomorrow, but the topline voting intention figures are on the front page of the Times here: CON 30%

By Anthony Wells 17 Sep 2012

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 34, LAB 44, LD 9, UKIP 7

This week's YouGov poll for the Sunday Times is online here. Topline voting intention is CON 34%, LAB 44%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 7%. On leader approval ratings Cameron and Miliband remain pretty much equal - Cameron is on minus 26 (from minus 28 last week) and Miliband on

By Anthony Wells 16 Sep 2012
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