When a party goes up or down in the polls there is inevitably speculation as to why. Sadly it's not normally very good speculation... there is always a temptation for people to follow the logic of I think issue X is very important therefore issue X is the
This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 30%, LAB 43%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 10%. It isn't the biggest Labour lead YouGov have shown this month, but (leaving aside a rather outlandish 29% back in April) it matches the lowest Conservative score
YouGov YouGov Voting Intention since 2005 Q: If there were a general election tomorrow, which party would you vote for? Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, Scottish Nationalist/Plaid cymru, some other party, would not vote, don’t know. Survey End Date CON (%) LAB (%) LDEM (%) Con Lead"; mysql_connect("localhost&
Lord Ashcroft has done another great big chunk of polling, this time focusing upon the rise of UKIP. Over on his site he has the results of a big poll of 20,000 people plus a series of focus groups with UKIP supporters and considerers. Looking first at the demographics
We have two new telephone polls tonight, both of which show solid advances for UKIP at the expense of the Conservatives. ComRes in the Indy has topline figures of CON 31%(-4), LAB 41%(-1), LD 10%(nc), UKIP 9%(+3). This is the highest ComRes's telephone polls
This week's YouGov poll for the Sunday Times is CON 33%, LAB 45%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 8%. The climb of UKIP support into the mid-teens that has been appearing in other online polls doesn't appear to be replicated in the daily YouGov polls. The rest of
The monthly online ComRes poll for the Indy on Sunday and Sunday Mirror is out and has topline figures of CON 28%(-3), LAB 39%(-4), LDEM 9%(-1), UKIP 14%(+6). The poll shows a big increase in UKIP support since ComRes's last online poll which was
This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun had topline figures of CON 31%, LAB 44%, LDEM 12%, UKIP 9%. The twelve percent support for the Liberal Democrats is the highest that YouGov have shown since way back in April 2011. All the usual caveats apply about unusual poll
Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor is out this lunchtime and has topline figures, with changes from last month, of CON 35%(+3), LAB 44%(-2), LDEM 9%(nc), UKIP 7%(+4). The poll shows a shift back towards the Conservatives, but this will largely be a reversion to
This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 42%, LD 10%, UKIP 8%. After a couple of weeks of YouGov polls showing increased Labour leads, the last few polls look as though they may be settling back towards the 10 point leads
This week's YouGov polling for the Sunday Times has topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 42%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 9%. No sooner had a posted that it looked as though the Labour lead in YouGov's daily was consolidating around 12 points, we've had polls
This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun had topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 42%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 9%. There weren't any questions on the specifics of the Autumn statement, but YouGov did update some general economic trackers. 24% of people now think George Osborne is
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